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Flood Warnings issued September 2 for three Southeast Texas river systems

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles issued Flood Warnings on September 2 at 7:53 AM CDT for the Neches River (moderate flooding), Village Creek (major flooding), and Pine Island Bayou (minor flooding). Water-level forecasts detail road closures and property inundation over the next 48 hours.

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles issued Flood Warnings on September 2 at 7:53 AM CDT for three river systems in Southeast Texas, each carrying different flood severity forecasts and timing.

The Neches River at the Neches River Saltwater Barrier, affecting Jasper, Hardin, Jefferson and Orange Counties, faces moderate flooding. At 7:15 AM CDT Wednesday, the stage was 3.7 feet; flood stage is 4.0 feet. The river is forecast to rise above flood stage late this morning and continue rising to a crest of 7.1 feet Saturday evening. At 7.0 feet, water begins to flow over Bigner Road into the saltwater barrier and cuts off most access to Four Oaks Ranch Road downstream of the boat launch. The Flood Warning is in effect from this morning until further notice.

Village Creek near Kountze in Hardin County is forecast for major flooding. At 7:30 AM CDT Wednesday, the stage was 7.5 feet; bankfull stage is 12.0 feet and flood stage is 17.0 feet. The creek is expected to rise above flood stage late this afternoon to a crest of 23.3 feet just after midnight on September 2, then fall below flood stage early Thursday afternoon. At 23.0 feet, major lowland flooding will occur. The previous crest on Village Creek was 23.9 feet on May 9, 1969. The Flood Warning is in effect from this afternoon to late Thursday night.

Pine Island Bayou near Sour Lake, affecting Hardin and Jefferson Counties, is forecast for minor flooding. At 6:45 AM CDT Wednesday, the stage was 16.1 feet; bankfull stage is 22.0 feet and flood stage is 25.0 feet. The bayou is expected to rise above flood stage late this afternoon to a crest of 28.5 feet early Thursday afternoon, then fall below flood stage Friday morning. At 29.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding will occur with water covering roads in Bevil Oaks. The previous crest was 28.4 feet on November 24, 1975. The Flood Warning is in effect from this afternoon to Friday evening.

The National Weather Service description specifies road closures, inundation of secondary roads near the rivers, and flooding of parks and low-lying areas. Exact rainfall amounts and the weather system driving the flooding are not detailed in the official alerts.

The key fact

Village Creek is forecast to crest at 23.3 feet just after midnight on September 2, approaching the previous record of 23.9 feet set in 1969.

The Bottom Line

Village Creek's forecast crest of 23.3 feet occurs just after midnight on September 2; confirmation of whether the actual crest reaches or exceeds that level will determine whether the flood event approaches the 1969 record. Residents in the three affected counties should monitor the National Weather Service alerts for real-time updates as water levels rise through Wednesday and Thursday.

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Sources

  1. api.weather.gov unrated
  2. api.weather.gov unrated
  3. api.weather.gov unrated
  4. api.weather.gov unrated
  5. api.weather.gov unrated
  6. api.weather.gov unrated

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